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Astrology is True or False

Astrology means different things to different people and leads to different levels of interest. In Western countries there are four broad levels of interest in astrology as shown below with the rough percentage of the population involved at each level. For comparison the proportion of people who are dentists is roughly 0.05%.

Level of interest

  • Superficial -- Reads sun signs, seeks entertainment, 50%
  • Some knowledge -- Has own chart, seeks self-examination, 2%
  • Deep involvement -- Calculates charts, seeks meaning to life, 0.02%
  • Scientific -- Performs tests, seeks answers, 0.00002%

How Does Astrology Work?

Astrologers claim they can tell your character, abilities, health, love life, events, destiny, and more, just from your birth chart. It seems amazing that a handful of planets could show all this. Indeed, polls consistently show that many people don't believe it. But astrologers have the perfect answer just try it. Put astrology to the test, they say, and you'll be convinced it works. What could be more reasonable? So this is precisely what research has done.

Take sets of birth charts jumbled up with descriptions of their owners. Can astrologers match charts to owners? In astrology books they do it all the time. So we expect the proportion of successful matches to pile up close to 100%. To date a total of 54 studies have made this test using a total of 742 astrologers and 1407 birth charts. Despite these impressive numbers the average success rate was no different from the 50% expected by chance, see figure below. For these astrologers (many of them among the world's best) astrology performed no better than tossing a coin.

"A child is born on that day and at that hour when the celestial rays are in mathematical harmony with his individual karma. His horoscope is a portrait revealing his unalterable past and its future results."

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